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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+4.46vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.06+4.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.79+1.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+2.51vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.94-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.96+0.13vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.38-3.75vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.04-4.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34-3.68vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.26-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.0Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.53Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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4.08Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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3.91Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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5.32Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.8Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 0.8% |
| Luke Orchardo | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 1.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Pierre DuPont | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 23.2% | 2.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 14.9% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Rottier | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 1.4% |
| James Beatty | 22.1% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 92.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.