Race 1B

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
James Moody 16.5% 15.4% 15.5% 15.6% 13.5% 10.4% 8.8% 4.0% 0.3%
Lindsey Baab 17.5% 21.3% 15.6% 15.3% 13.2% 8.9% 4.9% 2.9% 0.4%
Rolfe Glover 10.7% 11.8% 11.9% 14.1% 15.3% 13.8% 14.2% 6.4% 1.8%
Taylor Nathanson 11.6% 11.6% 12.5% 15.2% 13.8% 14.6% 12.1% 7.2% 1.4%
Lindsey Kennett 6.5% 9.4% 10.3% 10.1% 11.4% 14.7% 16.1% 15.8% 5.7%
Alexander Tong 24.3% 20.2% 18.0% 14.2% 10.1% 7.3% 4.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 8.1% 5.5% 10.2% 10.4% 13.2% 18.0% 17.7% 12.8% 4.1%
Zach Shapiro 3.5% 3.9% 4.1% 3.3% 7.0% 9.7% 15.4% 32.9% 20.2%
George Williams 1.3% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 6.0% 16.9% 66.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.