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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.57+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+3.30vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.85+3.72vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.70+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+1.84vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84+0.77vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-0.34vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.44+0.86vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+4.44vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.83+3.67vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.37-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.21-2.74vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.73-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.67+0.70vs Predicted
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15-0.78-2.76vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.63-4.16vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.19-11.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33North Carolina State University1.5711.8%1st Place
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5.3University of South Florida1.4512.2%1st Place
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6.72Eckerd College0.858.3%1st Place
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4.61Jacksonville University1.7015.2%1st Place
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6.84University of South Florida0.997.5%1st Place
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6.77Jacksonville University0.847.7%1st Place
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6.66Rollins College0.957.3%1st Place
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8.86Jacksonville University0.444.5%1st Place
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13.44Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.0%1st Place
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13.67Embry-Riddle University-1.831.1%1st Place
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8.75Florida State University0.374.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Miami0.213.4%1st Place
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12.29The Citadel-0.731.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
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12.24-0.781.2%1st Place
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11.84Duke University-0.631.5%1st Place
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5.73College of Charleston1.1911.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.2% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Barney | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 20.8% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| David Webb | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 39.3% |
| Gavin Dow | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.1% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.