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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+2.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+1.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+0.21vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.05+1.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57-0.65vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.16-0.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.53-2.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.25-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.19-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Tufts University2.900.2%1st Place
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3.45Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.36Boston University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.35Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.24Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.56Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.85Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 17.0% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 18.1% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 23.5% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 4.5% |
| Rolfe Glover | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Zach Shapiro | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 32.2% | 20.9% |
| George Williams | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 16.1% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.