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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+6.38vs Predicted
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2Fordham University4.26+4.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.92vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+3.35vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.58vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.47+3.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.89vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+1.62vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-0.80vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.42vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-1.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-2.98vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.62-3.98vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-2.76vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.71vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.63-6.90vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.00-5.09vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.70-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.63Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.58SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.75Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.62Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.88Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.24University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.91University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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12.8Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Olin Paine | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Sean Golden | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Michael Popp | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Paul Perry | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.7% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.