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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+6.37vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+5.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+6.31vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.19vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+4.64vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.62+3.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.88vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.66vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-0.43vs Predicted
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10Fordham University4.26-3.28vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-2.64vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-3.90vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-3.47vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-2.76vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.70-2.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.78vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.49-7.13vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.00-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.64Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.66SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.72Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.1Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.53Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.24University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.9Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% |
| Sean Golden | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Michael Popp | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Olin Paine | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 21.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Paul Perry | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.