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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+8.09vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+4.14vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+4.85vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+1.38vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.70+6.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.00+3.51vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.50vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.49-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.19+3.53vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.93vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-5.81vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.47-4.75vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.49-5.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.95vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.95-9.29vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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6.38Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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12.72Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.51University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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10.5SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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14.53University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.52Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Olin Paine | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Paul Perry | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 15.1% | 37.3% |
| Michael Popp | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Sean Golden | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Scott Houck | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| William Macdonald | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.