← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+7.30vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.63+7.12vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.62+6.22vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University4.26+2.33vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.47+4.51vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.75vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.49+2.51vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.70+4.60vs Predicted
-
9Boston College4.01-1.71vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.19+3.51vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.00-0.14vs Predicted
-
13Yale University4.10-6.13vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.95-6.70vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.73-6.58vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College3.25-5.41vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.49-7.34vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.3Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
9.12University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
-
9.22College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
-
6.33Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
9.51Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
-
9.75U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.51Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
12.6Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.29Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
10.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
14.51University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
11.86University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
-
6.87Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.3Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.42Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
10.59SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
-
9.66Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Olin Paine | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sean Golden | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Michael Popp | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 37.7% |
| Paul Perry | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.