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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.49+8.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+5.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+4.17vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+3.50vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.70+7.60vs Predicted
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6Fordham University4.26+0.33vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.47+2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.19+6.32vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-0.97vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.73-2.34vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-2.72vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.44-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.00-2.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.21vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-6.70vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.62-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.45Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.6Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.33Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.32University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.81SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.22University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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10.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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8.78College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 18.1% |
| Olin Paine | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Golden | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 37.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Paul Perry | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Michael Popp | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.