← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University4.26+5.55vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University3.82+6.35vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.95+4.78vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.00vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.47+4.50vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.44+3.72vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.01+0.27vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.70+4.62vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.62-0.05vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.49-0.21vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont3.63-1.92vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.19+2.71vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.68vs Predicted
-
14Yale University4.10-7.28vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.08vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.27vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University3.73-8.39vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida3.00-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.55Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
8.35Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.78Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
10.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
9.5Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
-
9.72Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.27Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
12.62Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
-
8.95College of Charleston3.620.0%1st Place
-
9.79Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.08University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
14.71University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
10.32SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
-
6.72Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
9.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
-
9.73U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
-
8.61Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.38University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Sean Golden | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.9% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 15.7% |
| Nick Johnstone | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 40.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Michael Popp | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Paul Perry | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.