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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+10.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+5.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+2.99vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+4.60vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+3.01vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+1.17vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-0.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.12vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.49-0.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.01vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.70+1.19vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.53vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.62-5.28vs Predicted
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15Fordham University4.26-8.69vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.44-6.12vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.47-7.18vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.00-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.67University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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6.99Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.17Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.92Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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13.19Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.47SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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6.31Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.88Dartmouth College3.440.0%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Sean Golden | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| William Macdonald | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Michael Popp | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 26.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Olin Paine | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Paul Perry | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.