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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+7.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+5.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.43vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+5.57vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.68vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.62+3.17vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70+5.94vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.23vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-1.75vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.00+0.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.32vs Predicted
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14Fordham University4.26-7.81vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.85vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.44-6.05vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.49-7.19vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.25-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.43Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.57Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.17College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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12.94Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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12.1University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.19Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College3.440.0%1st Place
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9.81Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sean Golden | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 22.4% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| Paul Perry | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.9% |
| Michael Popp | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Olin Paine | 11.4% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Colin MURPHY | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.