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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.19+4.86vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+2.70vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.57+2.36vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.44+4.57vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.45+0.40vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.99-0.12vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.37+0.62vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.95-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.21-0.83vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+2.41vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.67+2.70vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83+0.63vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.84-7.15vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.63-3.23vs Predicted
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16-0.78-3.72vs Predicted
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17The Citadel-0.73-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86College of Charleston1.1911.3%1st Place
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4.7Jacksonville University1.7014.2%1st Place
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5.36North Carolina State University1.5712.7%1st Place
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8.57Jacksonville University0.444.1%1st Place
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5.4University of South Florida1.4511.5%1st Place
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6.96Eckerd College0.857.3%1st Place
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6.88University of South Florida0.997.2%1st Place
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8.62Florida State University0.374.8%1st Place
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6.56Rollins College0.958.5%1st Place
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9.17University of Miami0.213.8%1st Place
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13.41Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
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14.7University of Central Florida-1.670.6%1st Place
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13.63Embry-Riddle University-1.830.7%1st Place
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6.85Jacksonville University0.847.8%1st Place
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11.77Duke University-0.631.8%1st Place
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12.28-0.781.7%1st Place
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12.27The Citadel-0.731.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Beaulieu | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Milo Miller | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Webb | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| Rain Hong | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 38.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 20.5% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.0% |
| Gavin Dow | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.