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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+8.94vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+4.34vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+3.58vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+1.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+4.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.75vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.49+0.63vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.44+0.18vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.00+0.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.47vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.46vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.97vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.73-6.41vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.62-6.80vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.70-3.94vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.63-9.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.45Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.63Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.18Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.82University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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10.54SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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13.06Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Olin Paine | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% |
| Michael Popp | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Paul Perry | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 24.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.