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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University4.26+4.92vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.62+6.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+3.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+4.00vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.32vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+1.56vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+0.92vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.61vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-1.14vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.70-0.64vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.00-2.72vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.44-5.68vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-6.19vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.10-10.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.0Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.32SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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7.99Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.36Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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11.28University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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6.8Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Paine | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sean Golden | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Michael Popp | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 24.1% |
| Paul Perry | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.