Race 12A

atlantic-coast

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Michael Zonnenberg 7.5% 5.8% 7.1% 6.6% 5.1% 7.8% 6.6% 5.3% 5.4% 5.9% 7.2% 6.4% 5.6% 5.5% 6.0% 4.3% 1.9%
Esteban Forrer 8.4% 6.9% 6.8% 7.3% 6.3% 7.5% 7.2% 6.9% 7.0% 7.0% 5.5% 5.8% 3.8% 5.3% 4.1% 2.8% 1.4%
Caleb Armstrong 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 4.7% 3.1% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 6.6% 7.5% 8.7% 10.6% 13.8%
Nick Johnstone 6.3% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 6.1% 5.2% 6.3% 7.5% 5.6% 5.7% 6.4% 7.1% 7.9% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 3.7%
Michael Popp 4.8% 7.2% 5.0% 4.2% 6.1% 7.4% 6.1% 5.2% 5.9% 6.1% 7.0% 4.7% 7.3% 5.4% 5.3% 7.1% 5.2%
Olin Paine 9.8% 9.8% 10.0% 10.5% 8.5% 8.3% 8.3% 6.9% 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% 4.5% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4%
Sean Golden 5.1% 5.2% 5.5% 3.9% 6.2% 4.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.3% 7.0% 6.0% 6.1% 7.7% 3.0%
Morgan Kiss 11.0% 10.3% 8.8% 9.4% 8.1% 5.6% 7.2% 7.1% 6.7% 5.8% 4.2% 5.0% 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2% 0.5%
William Macdonald 6.6% 7.1% 7.7% 8.6% 8.0% 9.4% 7.5% 6.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.8% 5.1% 5.0% 4.3% 3.9% 2.4% 1.3%
Timothy Siemers 2.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.6% 3.6% 5.0% 4.4% 4.9% 4.8% 6.3% 6.3% 8.4% 8.4% 12.0% 21.6%
Charles Lomax 5.4% 4.7% 4.3% 3.8% 5.3% 4.6% 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 5.0% 5.3% 6.0% 6.3% 8.0% 8.7% 6.2% 7.7%
Markus Edegran 5.3% 6.5% 5.3% 5.0% 5.8% 6.8% 4.5% 5.9% 6.1% 6.3% 5.2% 6.9% 6.7% 6.2% 7.0% 5.5% 5.0%
Zachary Hill 3.9% 4.0% 5.3% 3.7% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.7% 6.2% 4.9% 6.3% 7.5% 8.8% 6.7% 8.8% 8.9%
Colin MURPHY 4.7% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 6.0% 5.2% 5.5% 4.9% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.0% 7.6% 6.7% 5.5%
Brian Drumm 5.0% 5.8% 6.5% 5.2% 6.0% 5.9% 4.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.5% 6.8% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.4% 4.9% 5.5%
Paul Perry 2.6% 2.3% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 3.7% 4.3% 4.6% 3.6% 6.1% 7.5% 6.4% 7.1% 7.1% 8.6% 10.8% 13.7%
Erika Reineke 8.1% 8.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.6% 6.9% 6.7% 5.3% 8.2% 5.6% 5.7% 4.4% 3.6% 4.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.