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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+6.12vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+6.52vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+5.43vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+2.63vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+3.34vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01+0.04vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44+1.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.40vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.00+1.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.24vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.47-2.74vs Predicted
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13Fordham University4.26-6.78vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.70-1.60vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.10-8.25vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.62-7.26vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.09SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.63Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.34Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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11.03University of South Florida3.000.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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6.22Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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12.4Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.75Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.74College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Michael Popp | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Paul Perry | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% |
| Sean Golden | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Olin Paine | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 24.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.