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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+9.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+7.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+3.91vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.24vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+3.30vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+4.35vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-0.33vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.84vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.22vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-3.29vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-4.32vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-4.58vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.77-2.22vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.54vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.11-5.26vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.73-8.89vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.69-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.26Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.91Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.22SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.68College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.42University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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11.78Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.74Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.24Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Augie Dale | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% |
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Rees | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Jack Gerli | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.