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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+8.55vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+10.43vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.69+9.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+3.91vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+2.95vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+1.71vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.90vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.89-0.74vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-0.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.59-2.33vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.83-4.03vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-4.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-4.93vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.25-4.98vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.08vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-5.51vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.11-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.55University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.43Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.67Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.9SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.26College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.67University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.02Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.42Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Henry Vogel | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 16.1% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 18.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Charles Rees | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Augie Dale | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
| Jack Gerli | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.