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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.42vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+8.34vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+5.17vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+5.23vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+3.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41+3.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.88vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-0.05vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.69+3.41vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.11+0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95+0.45vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-4.32vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-4.56vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.83-6.73vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-4.15vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.79-8.19vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.77-4.76vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.67-9.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.41Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.96Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.68College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.85SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.24Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.9% |
| Jack Gerli | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% |
| Charles Rees | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 18.2% |
| Augie Dale | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.