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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+7.62vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+7.35vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.11+6.52vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+4.28vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+1.75vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95+3.26vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.83-1.47vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-1.71vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.59-2.29vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-4.31vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.67-4.91vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.77-2.22vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.55vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.06vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.92vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.69-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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10.35Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.52Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.71University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.69College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.78Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.08SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.26Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Jack Gerli | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Charles Rees | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Augie Dale | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.