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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+8.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+6.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+4.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+2.56vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.94vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+3.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+1.24vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.11+1.64vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.59-2.25vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.69+0.78vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.89-5.80vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.77-2.25vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-4.13vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-7.71vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-5.51vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.22Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.08Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.64Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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12.78Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.2College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.75Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.87SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.29Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Jack Gerli | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 22.1% |
| Charles Rees | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Augie Dale | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.