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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.70vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+7.00vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+7.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+4.49vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.11+4.89vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+1.19vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.89-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.59-0.25vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-1.29vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-2.94vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.83-3.82vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.73-4.87vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-2.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.41-5.49vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.81vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.73vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.69-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.89Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.45College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.27SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.5Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Jack Gerli | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Charles Rees | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Augie Dale | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.4% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.