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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+8.81vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+5.66vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.11+8.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41+5.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+2.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.45vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.79vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73+0.08vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.36vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.55vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-3.16vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-4.33vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.73-6.13vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-7.08vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.72-7.64vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.69-4.24vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.95-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.16Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.17SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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10.45Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.67University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.36Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.76Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Charles Rees | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Gerli | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Augie Dale | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 21.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.