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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+7.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+6.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.71vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+4.10vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+3.20vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+3.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89+0.51vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-0.26vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.11+1.97vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-1.49vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.54vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.45vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.08vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.59-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-3.46vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-7.46vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.41-7.27vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.69-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.97Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.51Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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12.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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10.92SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.49University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.43Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Charles Rees | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Jack Gerli | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 19.4% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Augie Dale | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.