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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+7.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+7.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+5.53vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.67vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59+3.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.47vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67+0.39vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.69+3.65vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-2.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.20vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.42vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.11-2.31vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.83-6.49vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-3.48vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.73-7.70vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-7.25vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.25-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.53Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.79University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.65Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.8College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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12.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.58SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.69Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.08Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Augie Dale | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 17.4% |
| Charles Rees | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 17.1% |
| Nick Valente | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.