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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+10.73vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+6.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+5.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.40vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+5.21vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.21vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+1.22vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-0.27vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.23vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-1.48vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-1.98vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.89-5.56vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-4.76vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.59-6.23vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.11-4.94vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.69-4.16vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.73University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.52Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.21Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.44College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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11.06Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.84Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% |
| Augie Dale | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Charles Rees | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Jack Gerli | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 21.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.