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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+7.52vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+5.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+6.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.43vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+4.56vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.11+4.97vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.97vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-0.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-0.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-1.25vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.51vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.69+0.93vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-4.25vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.73-6.11vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.29vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.95-4.33vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.29vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.97Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.75Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.49Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.93Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.98SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Charles Rees | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Jack Gerli | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Augie Dale | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 23.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% |
| Nick Valente | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.