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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+8.09vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+7.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.71vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41+5.53vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+6.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+2.24vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+1.19vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+0.76vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.89-1.49vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.69+2.92vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-2.55vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-3.13vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-5.31vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.11-3.40vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-7.08vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.05-4.76vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.25-6.47vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.44University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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12.92Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.45Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.24SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.53Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Charles Rees | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 22.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Augie Dale | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Gerli | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.