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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz2.28+1.42vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+7.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+6.85vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+9.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+1.32vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+2.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+3.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.03+0.94vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.41+7.52vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+4.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.00+3.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.40+0.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.25+3.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.81-0.42vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.15+5.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.65vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-0.94-2.84vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.86-3.61vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.01-3.73vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.88-5.59vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.15-5.49vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-2.25-1.16vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-4.14vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-4.86vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-1.98-5.12vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University1.47-21.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of California at Santa Cruz2.2837.7%1st Place
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9.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.6%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.243.6%1st Place
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13.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.1%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.638.0%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.224.2%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Santa Cruz-0.173.2%1st Place
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8.94University of California at San Diego0.033.6%1st Place
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16.52University of California at Davis-1.411.0%1st Place
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14.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.881.9%1st Place
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14.77University of California at San Diego-1.001.2%1st Place
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12.77University of California at Berkeley-0.401.8%1st Place
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16.75University of California at San Diego-1.250.9%1st Place
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13.58University of California at Berkeley-0.811.7%1st Place
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20.78University of California at Davis-2.150.3%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Irvine-0.841.7%1st Place
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14.16Santa Clara University-0.941.6%1st Place
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14.39San Diego State University-0.861.9%1st Place
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15.27San Diego State University-1.010.9%1st Place
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14.41University of California at Irvine-0.881.9%1st Place
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15.51Arizona State University-1.151.5%1st Place
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20.84University of California at Los Angeles-2.250.5%1st Place
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18.86California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.6%1st Place
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19.14University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.6%1st Place
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19.88California State University Channel Islands-1.980.3%1st Place
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4.54San Diego State University1.4713.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ho | 37.7% | 24.6% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Aivan Durfee | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| John Mayfield | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 24.3% |
| Brayden Money | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| julian stauffer | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 22.1% |
| Annika Altman | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% |
| Luke Graham | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.4% |
| Aston Smith | 13.7% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.