Race 6A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ryan Astwood 14.5% 17.0% 12.3% 10.7% 9.5% 8.0% 8.0% 6.4% 5.1% 3.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Jackson Hamilton 4.7% 4.7% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 7.5% 8.5% 7.8% 9.0% 8.2% 9.0% 7.5% 9.7% 3.9% 1.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 5.2% 4.5% 6.7% 5.5% 4.9% 6.8% 6.2% 6.6% 10.4% 9.9% 8.6% 11.0% 8.7% 4.5% 0.5%
Bryce Kopp 9.9% 8.4% 9.6% 9.6% 9.0% 8.6% 9.4% 7.9% 7.3% 6.4% 5.2% 4.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Nikole Barnes 13.4% 11.5% 11.9% 10.4% 11.2% 10.9% 8.1% 6.6% 6.1% 3.7% 3.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 11.5% 10.9% 10.9% 10.5% 11.2% 10.4% 8.3% 8.0% 6.0% 4.9% 3.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 9.5% 8.2% 10.0% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 9.9% 7.5% 7.0% 6.4% 5.1% 3.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 9.2% 11.6% 8.8% 10.7% 8.8% 7.4% 8.3% 9.4% 7.9% 6.6% 4.8% 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 3.7% 4.2% 4.3% 4.3% 5.8% 7.2% 5.4% 8.9% 7.6% 10.3% 10.3% 11.4% 10.1% 5.8% 0.7%
Michael Rottier 2.7% 2.0% 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.3% 4.9% 6.4% 5.7% 6.7% 9.9% 12.0% 17.6% 14.5% 4.7%
Sean Walker 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 4.5% 4.4% 5.9% 11.6% 30.1% 32.1%
Nicholas Woviotis 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 6.9% 22.1% 56.9%
Connor Kelter 4.7% 3.8% 4.8% 5.1% 4.6% 7.1% 6.8% 6.1% 8.4% 9.4% 10.2% 11.8% 9.2% 6.3% 1.7%
John Silvestri 3.8% 4.8% 4.6% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 5.8% 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 11.5% 11.9% 9.1% 5.7% 1.7%
Matthew Lyons 5.4% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 6.2% 6.5% 7.7% 8.2% 8.0% 9.2% 9.5% 7.8% 6.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.