Race 8A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Vidar Minkovsky 6.0% 5.1% 6.1% 5.1% 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 7.2% 9.1% 8.9% 8.5% 10.8% 7.4% 4.5% 1.6%
Nikole Barnes 13.4% 15.6% 12.5% 11.9% 10.3% 8.8% 7.1% 5.7% 5.2% 4.5% 2.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 9.7% 10.0% 10.7% 7.4% 9.0% 10.1% 8.2% 9.1% 7.4% 6.7% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Ryan Astwood 14.4% 15.3% 10.9% 12.5% 9.2% 9.6% 7.9% 6.4% 5.2% 4.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew Lyons 5.5% 6.5% 6.4% 7.2% 6.9% 6.5% 6.8% 8.4% 9.3% 9.9% 9.9% 7.7% 5.7% 2.7% 0.6%
Bryce Kopp 8.7% 8.9% 8.7% 8.8% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% 9.0% 8.4% 6.1% 5.8% 3.5% 2.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Elliott Morrill 11.4% 7.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.3% 10.5% 7.9% 7.6% 7.2% 5.0% 4.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 4.9% 5.1% 5.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.1% 8.6% 7.0% 8.2% 8.0% 10.5% 9.9% 8.3% 4.9% 1.1%
Matthew Schofield 3.6% 3.2% 5.0% 4.2% 5.6% 5.4% 6.1% 8.0% 7.6% 10.8% 10.0% 9.5% 13.1% 6.6% 1.3%
Michael Rottier 2.7% 1.9% 2.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 6.8% 5.0% 6.9% 7.3% 14.6% 17.7% 13.4% 5.2%
John Silvestri 4.1% 4.1% 4.5% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 7.0% 7.6% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 10.3% 7.7% 2.2%
Brendan Shanahan 10.3% 11.0% 11.4% 11.8% 8.6% 8.2% 9.8% 7.3% 6.9% 5.4% 4.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sean Walker 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 2.3% 5.8% 4.7% 10.8% 30.6% 33.8%
Griffin Orr 4.3% 4.6% 4.2% 5.1% 5.7% 6.9% 5.9% 7.2% 7.7% 9.9% 9.8% 11.5% 10.1% 6.1% 1.0%
Nicholas Woviotis 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 8.2% 21.6% 52.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.