Race 10A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Elliott Morrill 11.4% 9.9% 10.9% 9.1% 8.7% 10.0% 8.7% 7.8% 6.9% 5.6% 4.2% 3.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Jackson Hamilton 5.0% 5.3% 6.3% 5.2% 6.7% 8.0% 7.6% 8.0% 8.5% 8.5% 7.8% 10.1% 7.5% 4.6% 0.9%
Nikole Barnes 13.6% 15.2% 11.3% 11.1% 11.6% 7.9% 6.9% 7.5% 6.5% 3.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 3.7% 3.9% 5.7% 5.3% 6.1% 5.7% 6.2% 6.3% 8.1% 9.2% 9.9% 11.2% 10.8% 5.5% 2.4%
Ryan Astwood 14.5% 13.9% 11.3% 12.0% 9.9% 9.5% 8.5% 7.0% 4.7% 3.6% 2.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Rottier 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 3.9% 6.5% 4.9% 8.4% 10.0% 12.0% 17.0% 12.9% 5.7%
Nathan Allman 10.2% 9.2% 8.6% 9.3% 10.9% 8.0% 9.8% 6.6% 8.9% 6.1% 5.0% 3.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Nicholas Woviotis 0.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.0% 4.9% 8.0% 21.2% 53.5%
Vidar Minkovsky 5.0% 4.0% 5.2% 5.8% 6.6% 6.6% 8.3% 8.8% 8.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.8% 8.9% 3.3% 1.0%
Matthew Lyons 5.7% 5.2% 6.6% 7.2% 7.4% 6.7% 8.1% 9.3% 8.3% 7.9% 10.5% 7.2% 6.4% 2.8% 0.7%
Brendan Shanahan 11.3% 13.8% 10.6% 10.5% 8.7% 8.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 5.9% 4.7% 1.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 7.8% 7.6% 10.4% 9.6% 6.8% 10.1% 8.7% 7.5% 9.7% 6.7% 5.3% 6.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Sean Walker 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 2.3% 2.1% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 9.9% 32.9% 32.3%
Matthew Schofield 3.8% 3.1% 4.1% 4.6% 6.3% 6.0% 6.6% 7.4% 6.2% 9.9% 11.1% 10.5% 11.4% 7.2% 1.8%
John Silvestri 4.7% 4.9% 4.2% 5.7% 5.0% 5.7% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 9.5% 10.5% 10.9% 9.7% 7.0% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.