Race 11A

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jackson Hamilton 6.4% 5.5% 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.3% 8.3% 8.7% 6.9% 10.3% 10.0% 9.0% 5.6% 3.6% 1.1%
Nathan Allman 8.9% 11.2% 11.9% 9.6% 8.6% 9.8% 8.7% 8.0% 6.9% 6.7% 5.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Nikole Barnes 14.3% 14.3% 12.1% 11.7% 11.1% 8.3% 9.5% 6.5% 5.5% 3.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Elliott Morrill 10.2% 10.2% 10.7% 9.9% 9.3% 8.4% 9.3% 9.4% 8.3% 6.3% 3.5% 2.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Rottier 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 3.6% 4.4% 4.7% 4.8% 7.1% 7.6% 10.5% 15.6% 15.0% 10.4% 3.5%
Matthew Lyons 5.6% 6.6% 6.0% 7.3% 7.0% 8.5% 8.1% 8.9% 12.5% 8.6% 6.7% 6.9% 5.3% 2.0% 0.0%
John Silvestri 5.4% 3.6% 4.6% 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 7.3% 8.2% 8.4% 11.5% 10.6% 9.9% 8.5% 3.5% 1.3%
Brendan Shanahan 12.9% 11.0% 11.7% 10.8% 8.9% 10.3% 9.3% 7.2% 6.8% 4.6% 3.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Astwood 13.9% 14.9% 13.3% 11.8% 11.5% 9.6% 7.8% 7.0% 4.4% 2.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 5.0% 3.8% 5.0% 6.0% 7.1% 7.7% 7.3% 8.2% 8.0% 11.4% 10.5% 9.4% 5.5% 4.4% 0.7%
Bryce Kopp 8.6% 10.7% 9.5% 9.6% 10.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.3% 8.3% 6.2% 6.1% 3.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3%
Griffin Orr 3.6% 2.8% 4.9% 4.8% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 8.9% 7.2% 9.8% 13.1% 11.9% 9.7% 3.9% 0.9%
Nicholas Woviotis 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 5.2% 10.4% 21.2% 49.9%
Sean Walker 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 2.0% 1.4% 2.0% 3.6% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 14.4% 27.3% 26.9%
Alex Gatto 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.9% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 4.0% 4.9% 8.2% 11.3% 18.3% 21.8% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.