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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+5.66vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+3.79vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+6.20vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+3.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-0.32vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.10+2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.90+1.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.52-1.44vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.38-1.90vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-2.41vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.39-3.85vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-4.18vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.68-4.43vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-1.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-6.90vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.25-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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5.79College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.2Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.54Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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4.68St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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8.22Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.82Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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15.83Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 15.9% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Sara Burke | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 52.4% | 5.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bick | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 3.8% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.