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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+8.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.92vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+7.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.37vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+2.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+2.61vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+1.15vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06+0.62vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61+1.86vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.52vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-3.31vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-2.90vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-5.60vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-4.53vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-4.70vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.97-6.86vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.95College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.25Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.61Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.15Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.86Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.69Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.4Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.47Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.3George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mary Hall | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Liana Folger | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.