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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+9.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz2.28+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+6.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.40+8.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.63+1.06vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+2.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.84+7.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.03+1.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.81+4.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.41+6.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-0.61vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.86+2.48vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+1.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.25+2.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.88-0.38vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.00-1.47vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.15-1.33vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.94-3.52vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-5.36vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-0.96vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.01-6.28vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.15-1.28vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.25-2.45vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-4.74vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-1.98-5.27vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University1.47-21.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.6%1st Place
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2.44University of California at Santa Cruz2.2837.1%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.0%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Berkeley-0.401.8%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.638.3%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.224.7%1st Place
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14.48University of California at Irvine-0.841.6%1st Place
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9.15University of California at San Diego0.033.5%1st Place
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13.49University of California at Berkeley-0.812.0%1st Place
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16.8University of California at Davis-1.411.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Santa Cruz-0.173.5%1st Place
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14.48San Diego State University-0.861.6%1st Place
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14.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.881.3%1st Place
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16.63University of California at San Diego-1.251.1%1st Place
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14.62University of California at Irvine-0.881.2%1st Place
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14.53University of California at San Diego-1.000.9%1st Place
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15.67Arizona State University-1.151.2%1st Place
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14.48Santa Clara University-0.941.8%1st Place
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13.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.8%1st Place
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19.04California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.4%1st Place
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14.72San Diego State University-1.011.2%1st Place
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20.72University of California at Davis-2.150.4%1st Place
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20.55University of California at Los Angeles-2.250.7%1st Place
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19.26University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.4%1st Place
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19.73California State University Channel Islands-1.980.7%1st Place
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4.54San Diego State University1.4714.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Groom | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Ho | 37.1% | 26.8% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mayfield | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| JP Finnegan | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Annika Altman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| julian stauffer | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 23.3% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 21.1% |
| Luke Graham | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.4% |
| Aston Smith | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.