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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+7.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+7.10vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+6.86vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+4.22vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+1.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.70vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.89vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-1.75vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+2.23vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.77vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-0.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-1.31vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-3.85vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-4.69vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-3.49vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-7.70vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.88vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.90-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.77Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.09Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.15Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.31Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.51Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.3Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.07University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.