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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+8.84vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+6.84vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+6.55vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.85vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+3.30vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+2.36vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.05vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-0.10vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-2.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-1.33vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.30vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-4.01vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-5.09vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.71-9.09vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-5.57vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.55Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.36Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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12.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.9Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.43George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.