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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+8.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+6.56vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+6.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+6.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+3.83vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.23vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61+3.42vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.21vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-1.45vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-1.20vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.34vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-2.66vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-4.30vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.13vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.28-7.27vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.90-6.53vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.53Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.42Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.79College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.8Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.34Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.7Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.73Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.47University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.04George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 17.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% |
| Liana Folger | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.