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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+8.48vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+5.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.94vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+5.84vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+4.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+4.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+1.30vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67+3.14vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+2.58vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-1.08vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.21-1.95vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-3.34vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.21vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-7.86vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.05-5.45vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-5.39vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.90-6.55vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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7.0College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.84Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.14George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.92Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.66Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.55Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.61Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.45University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Mary Hall | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 15.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.8% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.