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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+8.81vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+6.43vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+6.22vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+4.25vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+4.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+4.29vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+1.64vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.76vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+1.30vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.99vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.28vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-1.63vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-4.69vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-5.07vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-4.64vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.85-6.37vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.18Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.64Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.3University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.37Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.63Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Liana Folger | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Mary Hall | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.