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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+8.82vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.51vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+5.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+3.25vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+5.55vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+1.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.29vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14+0.26vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.24vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.54vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-3.37vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.30vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-5.65vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.91-4.73vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-5.98vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.85-6.34vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.82Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.55Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.26Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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12.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.46University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.63Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.66Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.1George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Mary Hall | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 16.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.