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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+7.61vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.48vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+6.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.73vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.82vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+1.66vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.89vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-0.84vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.78vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.55vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-2.37vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.27vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-2.80vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.05-5.44vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.92vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-5.59vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.91-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.66Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.89Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.16Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.78Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.45University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.63Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.56Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.41George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Mary Hall | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
| Liana Folger | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 16.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.