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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+7.95vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+7.51vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.87vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+4.53vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14+3.26vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+1.31vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21+0.87vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+1.54vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-0.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.11vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-0.07vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.97-3.15vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-3.07vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-6.82vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.71-9.09vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.98vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.91-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.51University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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11.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.26Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.54Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.88Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.93Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.85Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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12.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 15.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Mary Hall | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 14.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Liana Folger | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 14.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.