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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+7.73vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+8.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.25vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+2.16vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+2.06vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90+2.05vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+1.37vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-1.20vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-2.77vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-0.46vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-3.62vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-4.54vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.33-2.56vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.71-9.18vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.05vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.73Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.68Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.06Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.37Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.8Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.54George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.38Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.44Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 17.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% |
| Liana Folger | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.