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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+8.48vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+10.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.79vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+4.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+3.62vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+3.05vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.28+0.61vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+1.51vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.25vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-2.49vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.90-1.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.37vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-2.80vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-6.85vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-4.65vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.71-9.98vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.91-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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12.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.5Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.51Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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12.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.63University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.15Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.35George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.02College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Liana Folger | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 16.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| Mary Hall | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.