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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+8.45vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+6.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.95vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+7.73vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.90+5.16vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+4.55vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-1.67vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-0.68vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-0.06vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61+0.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-1.30vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-4.25vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-6.04vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.71-8.21vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-5.99vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.05-7.19vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.67-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.85Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.16University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.55Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.64Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.79College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.01Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.81Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.09George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Mary Hall | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Liana Folger | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.