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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.96vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+7.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+6.88vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+7.40vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.90+5.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+2.23vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.91vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+2.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91+1.28vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-1.11vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.01vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-0.35vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-3.88vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.39vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-6.70vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-9.60vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.97-6.87vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.88Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.4Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.18University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.39Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.65George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.12Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.13Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Liana Folger | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 13.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.4% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.