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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.99vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+7.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+7.52vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+4.55vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+4.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.33vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.84vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+1.54vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.04vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-0.78vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61+0.71vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-4.81vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-4.88vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.90-4.03vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-4.58vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-7.63vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-5.64vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.05-8.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.45Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.52Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.12Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.97University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.42Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.46Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Liana Folger | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 15.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.